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MLB’s Best and Worst Managers and GMs

2013 June 11
by Brian Goff

Over the past 40 years, who are the best MLB managers and general managers?   I recently explored this question in an academic piece published in Managerial and Decision Economics.  Of course, one could just take winning percentage or championships won, but where managers have taken over successful teams, continuing that success is not as impressive as turning a team around.  In addition,  some franchises, such as the Yankees, are located in large metropolitan areas and given league revenue sharing practices, can turn this population base into a big financial advantage.  Finally, managerial relationships are hierarchical — the owner answers for everybody, the general managers, typically, makes roster decisions with managers making on-the-field decisions.  The methods that I employed took account of all of these issues using data from 1970-2011.

Interestingly, in comparing managers with GMs, the latter didn’t matter much prior to the 1990s.  Or, at least, very little difference existed between GMs so that one was just as valuable as another.  In the 1990s onward in the “Moneyball” era with much more attention paid to predictive characteristics of performance by some GMs rather than simply how players look in their uniform or the most obvious physical attributes, the general manager role exceeded that of managers in terms of explaining winning and losing.

      Top 10 Managers:

  1. Bobby Cox (Toronto, Atlanta)
  2. Danny Murtaugh (Pittsburgh)
  3. Walter Alston (Los Angeles)
  4. Earl Weaver (Baltimore)
  5. Danny Ozark (Philadelphia, San Francisco)
  6. Tony LaRussa (Chicago AL, Oakland, St. Louis)
  7. Davey Johnson (Cincinnati, Baltimore, New York NL, Los Angeles, Nationals)
  8. Sparky Anderson (Cincinnati, Detroit)
  9. Joe Torre (Atlanta, New York AL, Los Angeles)
  10. Jerry Manual (Chicago AL, New York NL)

Honorable Mention: Ron Gardenhire, Dick Williams, Terry Francona, Dusty Baker

With the recent retirement of Tony LaRussa, none of the Top 10 are still active.  Among the active managers, Gardenhire, Fancona, and Baker head the list.        

 

      Top 10 General Managers 

  1. Brian Cashman (New York AL)
  2. Bob Howsam (Cincinnati)
  3. John Schuerholz (Atlanta)
  4. Theo Epstein (Boston)
  5. Joe Burke (Kansas City)
  6. Joe Brown (Pittsburgh)
  7. Paul Owens (Philadelphia)
  8. Walt Jocketty (St. Louis)
  9. Al Campanis (Los Angeles)
  10. Haywood Sullivan (Boston)

Honorable Mention: Dan Duquette, Ron Schueler, Joe Gariagiola, Pat Gillick

A natural reaction to this list might be “Cashman has all the money to spend — no wonder he’s on top.  However, his individual contribution and ranking already takes account of the size of the Yankees’ market as well as taking over a team already enjoying a degree of success.  On the other hand, given that Theo Epstein is still active and his new team, the Cubs, are not faring so well, at least so far, his ranking would likely fall with expanded data.

There are some caveats, naturally:  individuals whose careers overlap 1970 do not have their whole performance taken into account.  At the time of compiling the data, I didn’t have GM data farther back.  Even with such data, the comparability of the league over time diminishes.

Here is a link to a draft version of the article on which these results are based.

Correction:  A commenter raised a question about Billy Beane, the Oakland GM of Moneyball fame.  I rechecked my results.  He should have been listed 7th among GMs.  An oversight on my part.

10 Responses
  1. eric permalink
    June 11, 2013

    not having billy beane anywhere in your top 10 for GM’s completely invalidates anything else you said. Close the page. This list is worthless.

  2. Skip Sauer permalink*
    June 12, 2013

    Eric,

    You could read Brian’s paper and review the methods, and you might then have a basis to make to make a valid critique.

    I did that with M. Lewis’ book on Beane, for example (Sauer + Moneyball). Google that. In the meantime, I’ll put your comment in today’s tally for my upcoming post “The Sports World is Seriously Ill.”

  3. Michael permalink
    June 13, 2013

    Tony LaRussa career is tainted by PEDs. His wins and losses should always have an asterick next to them. I am surprised Whitey Herzog is not on you manager’s list. However, I am only familar with his St. Louis record.

  4. Brian Goff permalink
    June 13, 2013

    My first reaction to Eric’s comment was that I suppose that I could have constrained the results to ensure Beane to be near the top of the GM list, but that seems to impose a strong prior assumption. His comment did prompt me to look back at my results, given that I had remembered that Beane seemed to come in fairly high. Sure enough, I had mistakenly left his name out. Not only an oversight, but bad PR on my part given Beane’s fame.

    I suppose a lot of managers records interact with PED use by players. LaRussa happen to have a very famous one. Hard to gauge how much he enabled PED use relative to others.

    Herzog finishes just out of those listed, so, Michael, your instincts were not wrong.

  5. davey vane permalink
    June 13, 2013

    No Billy Martin? Success with Twins, Tigers, Yankees.

  6. Con Kenney permalink
    June 14, 2013

    Davey Johnson is still coaching the Washington Nationals.

  7. Phillip permalink
    June 14, 2013

    Beane should be near the top. Cashman had a money vault and a checkbook, Beane had a change jar.

  8. Greg G permalink
    June 17, 2013

    Joe Torre also managed the Cardinals.

    I may take the time to review the methodology. But on the face of it, there are too many errors to take the list seriously.

    Beane got left off the list mistakenly? What methodology allows for an error like that before publishing? What other errors are there?

    Con points out that Johnson is still managing. Torre’s record may or may not be complete since his time with the Cardinals is omitted.

    All of this sloppiness in the article undermines the conclusions.

    I am with the crowd that believes that Cashman’s name on top also raises questions about methodology.

  9. June 21, 2013

    Where are the numbers?

  10. Duane Rockerbie permalink
    June 22, 2013

    So where is the list of the worst managers and GM’s? Guess we need to read the paper. One would think that the worst ones didn’t last long in the majors. An interesting topic is why is that some managers and GM’s keep finding jobs despite terrible performance.

Comments are closed.